Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ekharts D.
Assist: Arhipov L.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between FC Tallinn and Flora Tallinn U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tallinn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Tallinn
20%
Draws
40%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Tallinn are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2.37
Goals Conceded 2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:0
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
5:0
Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:4
Aug 2, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekharts D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 40 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

FC Tallinn's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: FC Tallinn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Flora Tallinn U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
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Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)