Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Silm J.
52' Event
Kukkonen M.
72' Event
Ekharts D.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between FC Tallinn and Flora Tallinn U21 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora Tallinn U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Tallinn
33%
Draws
27%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Tallinn a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
5:0
Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:4
Aug 2, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekharts D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silm J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kukkonen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 38 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

FC Tallinn scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Flora Tallinn U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Flora Tallinn U21
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2
FC Tallinn
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
04 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0
FC Tallinn
18 Jun
FC Tallinn
1 : 3
Flora Tallinn U21
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Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
22 Jul
Narva
1 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
18 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
12 Jul
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)