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FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium
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AI Match Summary

FC Tallinn play Kalju U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Tallinn averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Kalju U21 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, FC Tallinn won 4, Kalju U21 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 1, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for FC Tallinn and 1.88 for Kalju U21. This points to a FC Tallinn double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC Tallinn
15%
Draws
40%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tallinn picked up more points recently compared to Kalju U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Kalju U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs FC Tallinn
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21
6:3
Sep 27, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs FC Tallinn
1:0
Jun 3, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekharts D.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Tsendei S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kalju U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lotar Eyang E. E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 43 / 100
Kalju U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Kalju U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Tallinn or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Tallinn attacking → ← attacking Kalju U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tallinn scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kalju U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

FC Tallinn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kalju U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 35
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211693442:3130
4Elva1873831:3224
5Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
6Levadia U2118701134:3321
7Maardu Linnameeskond1755723:3620
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617