Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Koiv K.
Assist: Elhi T.
25' Event
Zakarlyuka A.
67' Event
Zakarlyuka A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between FC Tallinn and Levadia U21 finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
FC Tallinn
20%
Draws
51%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 13%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Levadia U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.33 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
1:5
Aug 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
4:0
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
4:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nesterov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakarlyuka A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koiv K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 35 / 100
Levadia U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Tallinn's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Levadia U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

FC Tallinn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Levadia U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
20 Aug
FC Tallinn
1 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
15 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 0
FC Tallinn
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Levadia U21

(Away)
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
20 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 2
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 28 17 5 6 76:39 56
2 Viimsi JK 29 15 5 9 56:29 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 29 14 5 10 70:51 47
4 Elva 29 14 5 10 46:43 47
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 28 10 6 12 50:53 36
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 28 7 7 14 34:62 28
10 Kalju U21 28 6 4 18 36:73 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)