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FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Koiv K.
Assist: Elhi T.
25' Event
Zakarlyuka A.
67' Event
Zakarlyuka A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between FC Tallinn and Levadia U21 finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Tallinn
15%
Draws
58%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Levadia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Levadia U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.32 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
1:5
Aug 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
4:0
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
4:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nesterov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakarlyuka A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koiv K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 10 / 100
Levadia U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Tallinn's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Levadia U21 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

FC Tallinn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Levadia U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
24 Oct
Kalju U21
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
19 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Viimsi JK
15 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 7
Tartu JK Welco
10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
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Levadia U21

(Away)
25 Oct
Elva
3 : 3
Levadia U21
19 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2
Levadia U21
14 Oct
Levadia U21
1 : 0
Kalju U21
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 35 24 5 6 99:44 77
2 Viimsi JK 34 18 6 10 62:33 60
3 Flora Tallinn U21 34 16 7 11 77:58 55
4 Levadia U21 34 17 3 14 67:59 54
5 Elva 34 15 8 11 50:51 53
6 Tallinna Kalev 33 11 7 15 56:62 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 34 11 6 17 55:70 39
8 FC Tallinn 34 10 8 16 43:75 38
9 Kalju U21 34 7 5 22 39:82 26
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)