Sport Picks
FC Tallinn vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn 
AI Match Summary
FC Tallinn host Tartu JK Welco in the Esiliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Tallinn have averaged 1.48 scored and 2.19 conceded recently, against Tartu JK Welco's 3 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Tallinn have won 1 to Tartu JK Welco's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.81, favoring Tartu JK Welco. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tartu JK Welco carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tartu JK Welco a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tallinn | Tartu JK Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tallinn scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Tartu JK Welco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: FC Tallinn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tallinn
(Home)Tartu JK Welco
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | 68 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 56:31 | 53 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | 51 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 61:55 | 47 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 52:55 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41:64 | 35 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | 25 |
| 10 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | 41 |
