Sport Picks
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 
Match Events
40'
40'
Kapanadze T.
43'
43'
Latsabidze T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
30%
50%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Tbilisi 2025 haven't matched Guria's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Guria taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 12%
Guria Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tbilisi 2025 | Guria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 2.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
1:1
Oct 31, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:2
May 9, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:1
Aug 17, 2023 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare
Top Goalscorer Latsabidze T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Guria Compare
Top Goalscorer Kapanadze T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tbilisi 2025 10 / 100
Guria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tbilisi 2025 Guria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Tbilisi 2025 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: FC Tbilisi 2025 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Guria has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Tbilisi 2025 VS Guria
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tbilisi 2025
(Home) 17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0 FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1 Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3 FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0 Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 0 FC Tbilisi 2025
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1 Iberia 1999 2
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0 Iveria Khashuri
13 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
4 : 0 Khobi
26 Jul
FC Tbilisi 2025
0 : 1 FC Rustavi
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1 Betlemi Keda
Page 1 of 3
Guria
(Away) 09 Oct
Margveti 2006
0 : 4 Guria
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5 Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5 Guria
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Margveti 2006
0 : 4 Guria
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5 Guria
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5 Guria
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5 Guria
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2 Guria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 63:11 | 51 |
| 2 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 54:14 | 49 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34:16 | 41 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:27 | 39 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 38 |
| 7 | Orbi | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36:25 | 34 |
| 8 | Didube | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 32 |
| 10 | Margveti 2006 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 11 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:28 | 28 |
| 12 | Khobi | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28:45 | 21 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18:53 | 16 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 22:46 | 13 |
| 15 | Betlemi Keda | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13:54 | 13 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18:56 | 11 |
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
