Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Margveti 2006

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lukava G.
24' Event
Lukava G.
63'
Arghvliani I.

AI Match Summary

FC Tbilisi 2025 in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tbilisi 2025.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Tbilisi 2025
6%
Draws
4%
Margveti 2006
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 have won more games recently than Margveti 2006.
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 20%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi 2025 Margveti 2006
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 2.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Margveti 2006
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Margveti 2006
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Georgian Cup
Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:3
May 29, 2025 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukava G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Margveti 2006 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chargeishvili V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi 2025 85 / 100
Margveti 2006 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi 2025 Margveti 2006

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tbilisi 2025 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Margveti 2006's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Tbilisi 2025 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tbilisi 2025 VS Margveti 2006
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443