Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tokyo vs Dortmund

World World

Club Friendly National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Chukwuemeka C. In: Yamamoto T.
Out: Chukwuemeka C.
31'
Ritter R.
46'
Sub
Ryan Marcelo In: Tawaratsumida K.
Out: Ryan Marcelo

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between FC Tokyo and Dortmund finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
FC Tokyo
20%
Draws
51%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dortmund a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 15%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tokyo Dortmund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tokyo vs Dortmund
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tokyo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 23 / 100
Dortmund 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tokyo Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tokyo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Dortmund let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

FC Tokyo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Dortmund
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)
15 Aug
Vissel Kobe
2 : 2
FC Tokyo
08 Aug
FC Tokyo
1 : 5
Machida Zelvia
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1
Dortmund
21 Jul
FC Tokyo
2 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
06 Jun
FC Tokyo
1 : 3
Cerezo Osaka
Page 1 of 6

Dortmund

(Away)
15 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 2
AS Roma
09 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 3
Dortmund
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1
Dortmund
29 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0
Dortmund
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Dortmund
Page 1 of 6