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FC Tokyo vs Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Chukwuemeka C. In: Yamamoto T.
Out: Chukwuemeka C.
31'
Ritter R.
46'
Sub
Ryan Marcelo In: Tawaratsumida K.
Out: Ryan Marcelo

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between FC Tokyo and Dortmund finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
FC Tokyo
20%
Draws
32%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tokyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tokyo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Tokyo a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 20%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tokyo Dortmund
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.04 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tokyo vs Dortmund
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tokyo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 85 / 100
Dortmund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tokyo Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tokyo found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Dortmund let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: FC Tokyo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Dortmund
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
14 Oct
Mito
1 : 0
FC Tokyo
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0
Urawa Reds
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
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Dortmund

(Away)
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Dortmund
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1
Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
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