Sport Picks
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship ONEOK Field, Tulsa, OK 
Match Events
9'
9'
Batista L.
39'
39'
Twumasi K.
45'
45'
Batista L.
Assist: Webber J.
AI Match Summary
FC Tulsa in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tulsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: El Paso Locomotive
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to El Paso Locomotive lately — more wins on the board than FC Tulsa.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 15%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tulsa | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:1
Jul 19, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:4
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:1
May 11, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Batista L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tulsa 31 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tulsa El Paso Locomotive
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tulsa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
FC Tulsa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: El Paso Locomotive conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
FC Tulsa VS El Paso Locomotive
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tulsa
(Home) 09 Oct
Lexington
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
09 Aug
FC Tulsa
0 : 1 Detroit City
06 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 3
El Paso Locomotive
(Away) 03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
23 Aug
Colorado Springs
0 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
16 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
