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Stadium Background

FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC

USA USA

USL Championship ONEOK Field
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Webber J.
30'
Palomino M.
46'
Sub
Bazini Y. In: Zubak E.
Out: Bazini Y.

AI Match Summary

Orange County SC in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orange County SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FC Tulsa
28%
Draws
50%
Orange County SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Orange County SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Orange County SC haven't matched FC Tulsa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Orange County SC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 14%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tulsa Orange County SC
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC
1:0
May 4, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC
0:0
Mar 31, 2024 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tulsa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Orange County SC Compare

Top Goalscorer MacKinnon L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tulsa 23 / 100
Orange County SC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tulsa Orange County SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tulsa's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Orange County SC conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Tulsa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tulsa VS Orange County SC
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1363418:1421
6Miami FC1656520:2421
7Pittsburgh Riverhounds1462616:1720
8Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax16141121:427
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1453622:2018
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215