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FC Twente/Heracles U21 vs De Graafschap U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Twente/Heracles U21 host De Graafschap U21 in the Divisie 1 U21. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. De Graafschap U21 have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while FC Twente/Heracles U21 have conceded 2.13 and scored 2.33. Past meetings favor FC Twente/Heracles U21 slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.63 - 2.13) back De Graafschap U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Twente/Heracles U21
15%
Draws
48%
De Graafschap U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: De Graafschap U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to De Graafschap U21 lately — more wins on the board than FC Twente/Heracles U21.
  • De Graafschap U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC Twente/Heracles U21 Clean Sheet 10%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Twente/Heracles U21 De Graafschap U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.33 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs FC Twente/Heracles U21
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
FC Twente/Heracles U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs FC Twente/Heracles U21
5:0
Nov 15, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs FC Twente/Heracles U21
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
FC Twente/Heracles U21 vs De Graafschap U21
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Twente/Heracles U21 14 / 100
De Graafschap U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Twente/Heracles U21 De Graafschap U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Twente/Heracles U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

De Graafschap U21 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Twente/Heracles U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Twente/Heracles U21 VS De Graafschap U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Twente/Heracles U21

(Home)
10 Oct
Willem II U21
1 : 3
FC Twente/Heracles U21
26 Sept
De Graafschap U21
0 : 2
FC Twente/Heracles U21
19 Sept
FC Twente/Heracles U21
1 : 4
Cambuur U21
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles U21
1 : 1
FC Twente/Heracles U21
05 Sept
Groningen U21
4 : 0
FC Twente/Heracles U21
Page 1 of 6

De Graafschap U21

(Away)
10 Oct
De Graafschap U21
0 : 1
G.A. Eagles U21
26 Sept
De Graafschap U21
0 : 2
FC Twente/Heracles U21
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
12 Sept
De Graafschap U21
1 : 0
Cambuur U21
05 Sept
Zwolle U21
1 : 3
De Graafschap U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord U21 5 5 0 0 18:4 15
2 Cambuur U21 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
3 De Graafschap U21 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Zwolle U21 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
5 Groningen U21 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
6 FC Twente/Heracles U21 6 2 1 3 7:13 7
7 G.A. Eagles U21 6 1 2 3 5:14 5
8 Willem II U21 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 (Play Offs)