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FC Ulaanbaatar vs Hang Yuen

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League MFF Football Centre, Ulaanbaatar
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Wang Po-Ying
(Penalty)
72' Event
Amaraa D.
74' Event
Kaneko N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Ulaanbaatar
30%
Draws
37%
Hang Yuen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hang Yuen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • FC Ulaanbaatar average 3.46 goals a game right now, well clear of Hang Yuen's 1.67.
  • Model gives FC Ulaanbaatar a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Hang Yuen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 20%
Hang Yuen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Hang Yuen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 20 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 3.46 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 AFC Challenge League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Hang Yuen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaraa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hang Yuen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaneko N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 67 / 100
Hang Yuen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Hang Yuen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ulaanbaatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ulaanbaatar found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FC Ulaanbaatar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hang Yuen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS Hang Yuen
2.88 Goals Scored 0.83
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
11 Aug
FC Ulaanbaatar
1 : 2
Hang Yuen
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
Page 1 of 6

Hang Yuen

(Away)
20 Sept
Hang Yuen
0 : 0
Tatung
13 Sept
Hang Yuen
1 : 1
Taiwan Steel
11 Aug
FC Ulaanbaatar
1 : 2
Hang Yuen
30 May
Taiwan Steel
1 : 0
Hang Yuen
24 May
Hang Yuen
2 : 0
AC Taipei
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dordoi Bishkek 1
Homs Al Fidaa 2
Fortis 1
Muras United 0
Al-Ittihad Aleppo 1
Bangladesh Police 0
Maziya 0
Regar-TadAZ 3
Paro 2
Abu Muslim 0
Taiwan Steel 3
Central Stallions 2
FC Ulaanbaatar 1
Hang Yuen 2
Ezra 1
Yangon United 2
Kasuka 2
Karketu Dili 1