Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Sydorenko V.
29'
29'
Sydorenko V.
54'
54'
Emere A.
AI Match Summary
Fenix Mariupol in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix Mariupol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Fenix Mariupol average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Uzhhorod's 1.33.
- Win probability leans FC Uzhhorod's way, sitting at 42%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Fenix Mariupol, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Uzhhorod Clean Sheet 20%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Uzhhorod | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
FC Uzhhorod vs Fenix Mariupol
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Uzhhorod Compare
Top Goalscorer Emere A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67
Fenix Mariupol Compare
Top Goalscorer Sydorenko V.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Uzhhorod 42 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Uzhhorod Fenix Mariupol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Uzhhorod found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Fenix Mariupol conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
FC Uzhhorod went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Uzhhorod VS Fenix Mariupol
1.67 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 13%
67% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Uzhhorod
(Home) 22 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 0 Nyva Vinnytsya
16 May
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 3 FC Uzhhorod
10 May
FC Uzhhorod
0 : 4 Zhytomyr 2
06 May
Kulikiv
1 : 0 FC Uzhhorod
01 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 2 Real Pharma Odesa
Page 1 of 6
22 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 0 Nyva Vinnytsya
10 May
FC Uzhhorod
0 : 4 Zhytomyr 2
01 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 2 Real Pharma Odesa
18 Apr
FC Uzhhorod
0 : 1 FC Vilkhivtsi
05 Apr
FC Uzhhorod
0 : 0 Atlet Kiev
Page 1 of 4
Fenix Mariupol
(Away) 27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1 Kulikiv
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
20 Aug
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 6 Fenix Mariupol
31 Jul
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3
