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FC Vilafranca vs UE Rapitenca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Cargol G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between FC Vilafranca and UE Rapitenca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Vilafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Vilafranca
28%
Draws
22%
UE Rapitenca
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Vilafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • UE Rapitenca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Vilafranca are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 68%
UE Rapitenca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Vilafranca UE Rapitenca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Rapitenca
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs FC Vilafranca
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs FC Vilafranca
2:1
Nov 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Rapitenca
0:0
Mar 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Rapitenca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Vilafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Cargol G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UE Rapitenca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 59 / 100
UE Rapitenca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Vilafranca UE Rapitenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Rapitenca has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: UE Rapitenca has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Vilafranca found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Vilafranca VS UE Rapitenca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Vilafranca

(Home)
28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1
Prat
11 May
Prat
3 : 0
FC Vilafranca
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2
Olot
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2
FC Vilafranca
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
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UE Rapitenca

(Away)
11 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
FC Lescala
05 May
Girona B
4 : 2
UE Rapitenca
01 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
UE Tona
27 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
3 : 1
UE Rapitenca
24 Apr
UE Rapitenca
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olot34247355:2079
2L Hospitalet34223956:2869
3Vilassar de Mar34179841:2760
4CF Badalona341671144:3655
5Prat341312939:3051
6UE Tona341391248:4548
7FC Lescala341461457:5948
8Reus FC Reddis3412101231:2846
9Montanesa341371432:3946
10FE Grama341361541:4745
11Girona B3411111249:4044
12Mollerussa341271533:4643
13San Cristobal CP341341735:5443
14Peralada341191434:3442
15Pobla Mafumet341081631:3938
16FC Vilafranca34891731:5333
17UE Castelldefels34791830:4730
18UE Rapitenca34932236:5130
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)