Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Volendam vs Telstar

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Kras Stadion, Volendam
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Descotte A.
Assist: Bacuna J.
27'
Leliendal Y.
44' Event
Bakker D.
Assist: Hardeveld J.

AI Match Summary

Telstar in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Telstar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Volendam
20%
Draws
20%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Volendam at 1.61 per game, Telstar at 1.46.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on FC Volendam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 20%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam Telstar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Telstar
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Eredivisie
Telstar vs FC Volendam
2:2
Mar 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Telstar
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs FC Volendam
2:2
Jan 9, 2022 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Telstar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Descotte A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakker D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 85 / 100
Telstar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Volendam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Telstar conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FC Volendam's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Telstar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS Telstar
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
28 Aug
FC Volendam
6 : 1
Dordrecht
21 Aug
Maastricht
1 : 0
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6

Telstar

(Away)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)