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FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Poluboyarinov D.
85' Event
Anosov D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
35%
Draws
45%
FK Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Pobeda lately — more wins on the board than FC Volgar-Astrakhan.
  • FC Volgar-Astrakhan are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • FK Pobeda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Volgar-Astrakhan, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Volgar-Astrakhan Clean Sheet 20%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volgar-Astrakhan FK Pobeda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 14 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Russian Cup
FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
2:0
Aug 21, 2024 Russian Cup
FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Volgar-Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Poluboyarinov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anosov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

FK Pobeda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 42 / 100
FK Pobeda 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volgar-Astrakhan FK Pobeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Volgar-Astrakhan scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

FK Pobeda has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Volgar-Astrakhan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Volgar-Astrakhan VS FK Pobeda
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volgar-Astrakhan

(Home)
24 Oct
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
D. Bryansk
18 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 1
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
11 Oct
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
04 Oct
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
Page 1 of 6

FK Pobeda

(Away)
24 Oct
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
17 Oct
Kyzyltash
4 : 1
FK Pobeda
10 Oct
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Rubin Yalta
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Metallurg Asha 0
TBD -
Saratov -
Khimik -
TBD -
TBD -
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Luki-Energiya -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tosno 3
TBD -
Cherepovets -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Kristall 2
Krasnoye Znamya 3
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Strogino Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
Vladimir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar -
TBD -
TBD -
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -
Bomik 1
Broke Boys 2
TBD -
Kirov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
TBD -
Anzhi 1
Izberbash 5
Angust Nazran -
TBD -
TBD -
Maykop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
TBD -
Kursk -
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
Salyut-Belgorod 0
Kaluga -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskra Smolensk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Mashuk -
Nart Cherkessk -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pobeda -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom -
TBD -
TBD -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
FK Shumbrat Saransk -
2Drots 2
FC Oryol 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
Chita 3
FC Irkutsk 0
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
Temp Barnaul 3
KDV Tomsk 4
TBD -
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 3
Penza 2
TBD -
Spartak Tambov -
Kvant Obninsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Barnaul 2
TBD -
Dynamo Vladivostok -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
FC 10 3
Kosmos 2
TBD -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Dynamo Vologda -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Tver -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
FK Izhevsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
1/16-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Saratov 3
Khimik 2
Nosta 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Luki-Energiya 2
FK Tosno 0
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 2
D. Bryansk 0
Strogino Moscow 0
Vladimir 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0
Broke Boys 0
Kirov 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
Izberbash 3
Angust Nazran 0
Maykop 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
Kaluga 5
Iskra Smolensk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Astrakhan 2
Mashuk 1
Nart Cherkessk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
FK Pobeda 0
Spartak Nalchik 4
Alania Vladikavkaz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 1
M. Lipetsk 0
FK Shumbrat Saransk 1
2Drots 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
Chita 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
KDV Tomsk 3
Sibir Novosibirsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 1
Spartak Tambov 2
Kvant Obninsk 0
Ryazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 2
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
Dynamo Barnaul 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
FC 10 1
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 2
FK Tver 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
Tyumen 1
FK Izhevsk 1
Torpedo Miass 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
1/8-finals
Saratov 2
Nosta 1
TBD -
Leningradets -
Luki-Energiya 4
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 1
Vladimir 0
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 4
Kirov 5
TBD -
Kamaz -
Izberbash 1
Maykop 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 1
Kaluga 2
TBD -
Ufa -
Astrakhan 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 3
2Drots 0
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
FC Chertanovo Moscow 4
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Spartak Tambov 1
Ryazan 2
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 0
Dynamo Barnaul 5
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 1
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Quarter-finals
Saratov 1
Leningradets 2
Luki-Energiya 2
Ural 1
Krasnoye Znamya 0
SKA Khabarovsk 4
Kirov 1
Kamaz 0
Maykop 1
Yenisey 2
Kaluga 1
Ufa 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2
Torpedo Moscow 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0
Ulyanovsk 1
FC Murom 1
Veles Moscow 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 2
Neftekhimik 1
Tekstilshtik 1
Arsenal Tula 0
Ryazan 0
S. Kostroma 2
Dynamo Barnaul 0
Chelyabinsk 2
Dynamo Petersburg 2
PFC Sochi 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
R. Volgograd 0
Semi-finals
Leningradets 2
Luki-Energiya 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
Kirov 0
Yenisey 2
Kaluga 0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0
Ulyanovsk 1
FC Murom 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 2
Tekstilshtik 1
S. Kostroma 1
Chelyabinsk 0
Dynamo Petersburg 1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
Final
Leningradets -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Yenisey -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
S. Kostroma -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -