Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Wegberg-Beeck vs 1. FC Duren

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Wegberg-Beeck play 1. FC Duren in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. FC Wegberg-Beeck are favorites here. Recently, FC Wegberg-Beeck averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. 1. FC Duren averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, FC Wegberg-Beeck won 2, 1. FC Duren won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for FC Wegberg-Beeck and 1.00 for 1. FC Duren. This points to a FC Wegberg-Beeck double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Wegberg-Beeck
25%
Draws
15%
1. FC Duren
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FC Wegberg-Beeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Wegberg-Beeck picked up more points recently compared to 1. FC Duren.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
FC Wegberg-Beeck Clean Sheet 23%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Wegberg-Beeck 1. FC Duren
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Wegberg-Beeck vs 1. FC Duren
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Regionalliga West
1. FC Duren vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
3:0
Aug 25, 2023 Regionalliga West
FC Wegberg-Beeck vs 1. FC Duren
1:3
Jan 15, 2022 Club Friendly
1. FC Duren vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Wegberg-Beeck 59 / 100
1. FC Duren 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Wegberg-Beeck 1. FC Duren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Wegberg-Beeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC Wegberg-Beeck & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Wegberg-Beeck attacking → ← attacking 1. FC Duren

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Wegberg-Beeck scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

1. FC Duren let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FC Wegberg-Beeck went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

1. FC Duren lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 38
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128