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FC Zugdidi vs Samtredia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Sun, Oct 30, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Zugdidi host Samtredia in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FC Zugdidi at 1.86 goals for, 1.57 against; Samtredia at 2.03 for, 1.44 against. Past meetings favor Samtredia slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 30, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 1.18) point toward Samtredia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
FC Zugdidi
20%
Draws
51%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Samtredia have won more games recently than FC Zugdidi.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Zugdidi Clean Sheet 20%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Zugdidi Samtredia
Matches Played 7 34
Wins 2 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.86 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Samtredia
0:0
Sep 9, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs FC Zugdidi
0:0
May 28, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Samtredia
0:0
Apr 1, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs FC Zugdidi
3:1
Sep 30, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Samtredia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Zugdidi 10 / 100
Samtredia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Zugdidi Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Solid form: FC Zugdidi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FC Zugdidi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (7 games).

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Samtredia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Zugdidi

(Home)
22 May
WIT Georgia
3 : 3
FC Zugdidi
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Merani Tbilisi
3 : 0
FC Zugdidi
05 May
FC Zugdidi
4 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
29 Apr
FC Zugdidi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
Page 1 of 2

Samtredia

(Away)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shukura 28 19 3 6 52:23 60
2 Spaeri 28 15 6 7 57:35 51
3 Samtredia 28 14 6 8 43:28 48
4 Merani Martvili 28 12 6 10 55:53 42
5 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 10 6 12 38:36 36
6 Merani Tbilisi 28 10 4 14 34:56 34
7 FC Rustavi 28 6 5 17 34:54 23
8 WIT Georgia 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
9 FC Zugdidi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shevardeni Tbilisi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)