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FCI Tallinn II vs FC Ararat

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2014
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B 2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FCI Tallinn II
39%
Draws
31%
FC Ararat
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FCI Tallinn II have won more games recently than FC Ararat.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FCI Tallinn II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FCI Tallinn II Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCI Tallinn II FC Ararat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.63 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2014 Esiliiga B
FCI Tallinn II vs FC Ararat
3:3
Oct 1, 2014 Estonian Cup
FC Ararat vs FCI Tallinn II
0:3
Jul 12, 2014 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs FCI Tallinn II
0:3
May 1, 2014 Esiliiga B
FCI Tallinn II vs FC Ararat
1:0
Apr 26, 2014 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs FCI Tallinn II
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCI Tallinn II 29 / 100
FC Ararat 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCI Tallinn II FC Ararat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ararat has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FCI Tallinn II scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FCI Tallinn II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCI Tallinn II VS FC Ararat
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
3.63 Goals Conceded 3.17
100% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
75% Over 3.5 83%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FCI Tallinn II363141124:3497
2Santos Tartu363204161:2796
3Viimsi JK361851371:8159
4Sillamae Kalev II361741574:6455
5Maardu Linnameeskond361621870:8550
6Elva361251945:7941
7FC Alliance361142153:7737
8FC Ararat36952255:8032
9Legion36762353:11127
10Flora U1936832544:11227