Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCSB vs Otelul

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tanase F.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Popescu M.
Assist: Dawa J.
22' Event
Olaru D.
Assist: Miculescu D.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between FCSB and Otelul finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FCSB
20%
Draws
40%
Otelul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Otelul haven't matched FCSB's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FCSB's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FCSB have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FCSB Clean Sheet 20%
Otelul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB Otelul
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
4:0
Feb 8, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs FCSB
1:4
Sep 28, 2025 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 Superliga
Otelul vs FCSB
1:4
Jul 26, 2024 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FCSB Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olaru D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Otelul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 85 / 100
Otelul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB Otelul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCSB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FCSB found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Otelul conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Otelul has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCSB VS Otelul
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB

(Home)
14 Sept
FCSB
2 : 2
Petrolul
05 Sept
Dinamo Bucuresti
2 : 1
FCSB
02 Sept
Campionii Arges
0 : 5
FCSB
30 Aug
FCSB
1 : 3
FC UTA Arad
23 Aug
CFR Cluj
1 : 0
FCSB
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Otelul

(Away)
14 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
3 : 0
Otelul
06 Sept
Otelul
0 : 1
Rapid Bucuresti
28 Aug
Voluntari
2 : 2
Otelul
24 Aug
Otelul
1 : 0
Campionii Arges
19 Aug
Concordia
5 : 1
Otelul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 FC UTA Arad 9 5 2 2 14:7 39
8 FCSB 9 4 2 3 13:9 37
9 Otelul 9 4 2 3 17:15 35
10 FC Botosani 9 3 3 3 13:17 33
11 Miercurea Ciuc 9 5 2 2 11:8 33
12 Petrolul 9 2 3 4 9:15 25
13 Farul Constanta 9 1 3 5 8:11 25
14 FC Hermannstadt 9 3 4 2 13:10 25
15 Unirea Slobozia 9 2 3 4 11:13 22
16 Metaloglobus Bucharest 9 2 4 3 10:14 16
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Main)