Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCSB vs Otelul

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tanase F.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Popescu M.
Assist: Dawa J.
22' Event
Olaru D.
Assist: Miculescu D.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between FCSB and Otelul finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
FCSB
17%
Draws
70%
Otelul
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Otelul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Otelul haven't matched FCSB's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Otelul's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FCSB have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FCSB Clean Sheet 10%
Otelul Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB Otelul
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
4:0
Feb 8, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs FCSB
1:4
Sep 28, 2025 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 Superliga
Otelul vs FCSB
1:4
Jul 26, 2024 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FCSB Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olaru D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Otelul Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 14 / 100
Otelul 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB Otelul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FCSB found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Otelul conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: FCSB remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCSB VS Otelul
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB

(Home)
26 Jul
Miercurea Ciuc
0 : 2
FCSB
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
17 Jul
FCSB
2 : 0
Campionii Arges
05 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
FCSB
29 May
Dinamo Bucuresti
1 : 2
FCSB
Page 1 of 6

Otelul

(Away)
24 Jul
FC UTA Arad
2 : 2
Otelul
18 Jul
Otelul
2 : 1
CFR Cluj
11 Jul
Otelul
3 : 1
FC Bacau
03 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 0
Otelul
18 May
Petrolul
1 : 5
Otelul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7FC UTA Arad952214:739
8FCSB942313:937
9Otelul942317:1535
10FC Botosani933313:1733
11Miercurea Ciuc952211:833
12Petrolul92349:1525
13Farul Constanta91358:1125
14FC Hermannstadt934213:1025
15Unirea Slobozia923411:1322
16Metaloglobus Bucharest924310:1416
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Main)