Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Marcolino de Castro

FC Felgueiras

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Feirense play FC Felgueiras in the Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Feirense averaged 1 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. FC Felgueiras averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Feirense won 1, FC Felgueiras won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 2, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Feirense and 0.81 for FC Felgueiras. This points to a Feirense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Feirense

33%

Draws

33%

FC Felgueiras

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Feirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Feirense picked up more points recently compared to FC Felgueiras.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Feirense Clean Sheet 26%

FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Feirense	FC Felgueiras
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	8	10
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Liga Portugal 2

Feirense vs FC Felgueiras

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Oct 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

FC Felgueiras vs Feirense

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Feb 1, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

Feirense vs FC Felgueiras

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Aug 24, 2024 Liga Portugal 2

FC Felgueiras vs Feirense

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Mar 13, 2005 Liga Portugal 2

FC Felgueiras vs Feirense

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feirense 36 / 100

FC Felgueiras 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Feirense FC Felgueiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Feirense or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Feirense attacking → ← attacking FC Felgueiras

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feirense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

FC Felgueiras let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Feirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Felgueiras lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 37

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maritimo	34	20	6	8	50:29	66
2	Academico Viseu	34	17	8	9	58:33	59
3	Torreense	34	18	5	11	46:33	59
4	Vizela	34	14	9	11	39:40	51
5	FC Porto B	34	15	6	13	41:42	51
6	Leiria	34	13	11	10	52:46	50
7	Leixoes	34	15	5	14	46:55	50
8	Feirense	34	12	10	12	37:40	46
9	Chaves	34	13	6	15	42:40	45
10	Benfica B	34	11	11	12	43:44	44
11	FC Felgueiras	34	11	11	12	34:38	44
12	Lusitania FC	34	11	10	13	44:52	43
13	Sporting CP B	34	13	3	18	41:34	42
14	Penafiel	34	11	8	15	37:39	41
15	Portimonense	34	11	7	16	39:49	40
16	SC Farense	34	10	10	14	31:37	40
17	Pacos Ferreira	34	9	12	13	34:48	39
18	Oliveirense	34	8	10	16	34:49	34