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Feirense vs Galicia

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Baiano 2 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2022 game between Feirense and Galicia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Feirense
15%
Draws
73%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Galicia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Galicia a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Galicia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Feirense Clean Sheet 12%
Galicia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feirense Galicia
Matches Played 31 44
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 13
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.77 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2024 Baiano 2
Feirense vs Galicia
0:0
Jul 3, 2022 Baiano 2
Feirense vs Galicia
0:1
Mar 13, 2016 Baiano
Feirense vs Galicia
1:4
Feb 22, 2015 Baiano
Feirense vs Galicia
0:2
Jan 23, 2014 Baiano
Feirense vs Galicia
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feirense 22 / 100
Galicia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feirense Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galicia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galicia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 44 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Galicia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Feirense's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galicia
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Feirense

(Home)
14 Jul
Grapiuna
5 : 0
Feirense
07 Jul
Feirense
1 : 2
Vitoria da Conquista
03 Jul
Feirense
1 : 3
Colo Colo
30 Jun
Leonico
1 : 1
Feirense
26 Jun
Feirense
0 : 1
Fluminense de Feira
Page 1 of 7

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)