Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Miguel J.
Own Goal
15'
15'
17'
17'
Popoola S.
AI Match Summary
Feirense in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Feirense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Feirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Penafiel haven't matched Feirense's recent run of results.
- Feirense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Feirense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Feirense Clean Sheet 68%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Feirense | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Penafiel
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Feirense
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Feirense
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Penafiel
3:0
Jan 29, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Feirense
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Feirense 95 / 100
Penafiel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Feirense Penafiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Feirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Feirense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Penafiel conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Feirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Feirense VS Penafiel
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Feirense
(Home) 14 Aug
Academica
1 : 0 Feirense
09 Aug
Feirense
0 : 0 FC Felgueiras
01 Aug
Uniao Lamas
3 : 2 Feirense
01 Aug
Feirense
2 : 0 Casa Pia
18 Jul
Feirense
0 : 0 Arouca
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Feirense
0 : 0 FC Felgueiras
01 Aug
Feirense
2 : 0 Casa Pia
18 Jul
Feirense
0 : 0 Arouca
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2 Oliveirense
28 Apr
Feirense
0 : 0 Torreense
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Penafiel
(Away) 15 Aug
Torreense
2 : 2 Penafiel
08 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 1 Portimonense
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Gil Vicente
24 Jul
Penafiel
0 : 2 Leganes
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15 Aug
Torreense
2 : 2 Penafiel
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0 Penafiel
18 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
5 : 0 Penafiel
17 May
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 1 Penafiel
04 May
Torreense
3 : 2 Penafiel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
