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Felanitx vs Alaior

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Felanitx and Alaior finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Felanitx.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Felanitx
20%
Draws
32%
Alaior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Felanitx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Alaior have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Felanitx are scoring more at 0.84.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Alaior taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Felanitx have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 18%
Alaior Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Alaior
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.84 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Alaior
2:0
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Felanitx
0:1
May 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Alaior
3:0
Dec 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Felanitx
3:1
Jan 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Alaior
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 10 / 100
Alaior 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Alaior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alaior conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Alaior's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Felanitx found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 7

Alaior

(Away)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)