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Felanitx vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
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Match Events

81' Event
Giaquinto A.

AI Match Summary

Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Felanitx
15%
Draws
65%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Felanitx haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Constancia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Constancia
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Felanitx
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Constancia
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Felanitx
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Constancia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Felanitx Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Giaquinto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 10 / 100
Constancia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Felanitx's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Constancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Felanitx remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS Constancia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

Constancia

(Away)
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)