Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Felanitx and Ferriolense finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Felanitx.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Felanitx
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Felanitx carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ferriolense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 18%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Felanitx | Ferriolense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Ferriolense
5:1
Nov 21, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Felanitx
2:0
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Felanitx
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Ferriolense
1:2
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Ferriolense
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Felanitx 10 / 100
Ferriolense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Felanitx Ferriolense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferriolense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Ferriolense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Felanitx scored in 55% of their last 38 outings.
Scoring Trends
Felanitx VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Felanitx
(Home) 10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1 Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3 Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2 Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1 Felanitx
Page 1 of 8
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1 Santanyi
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2 Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
28 Mar
Felanitx
1 : 1 Inter Ibiza
14 Mar
Felanitx
1 : 1 Cardassar
Page 1 of 4
Ferriolense
(Away) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
Page 1 of 6
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
08 May
Binissalem
3 : 2 Ferriolense
25 Apr
Llosetense
2 : 0 Ferriolense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
