Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Granados D.
70'
70'
Franco A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Felanitx and Mercadal finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mercadal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mercadal carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Mercadal taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Felanitx | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Mercadal
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Felanitx
1:0
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Felanitx
7:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Mercadal
1:1
May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Felanitx
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Felanitx Compare
Top Goalscorer Granados D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Mercadal Compare
Top Goalscorer Franco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Felanitx 10 / 100
Mercadal 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Felanitx Mercadal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mercadal conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Felanitx scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Felanitx stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Felanitx VS Mercadal
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Felanitx
(Home) 10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1 Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3 Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2 Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1 Felanitx
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1 Santanyi
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2 Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
28 Mar
Felanitx
1 : 1 Inter Ibiza
14 Mar
Felanitx
1 : 1 Cardassar
Page 1 of 3
Mercadal
(Away) 19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2 Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2 Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2 Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0 Mercadal
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2 Mercadal
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0 Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1 Mercadal
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0 Mercadal
21 Mar
Manacor
3 : 0 Mercadal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
