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Felanitx vs Mercadal

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Granados D.
70' Event
Franco A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Felanitx and Mercadal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Felanitx
20%
Draws
38%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Felanitx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Mercadal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Felanitx taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 68%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Mercadal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Mercadal
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Felanitx
1:0
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Felanitx
7:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Mercadal
1:1
May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Felanitx
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Felanitx Compare

Top Goalscorer Granados D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mercadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 51 / 100
Mercadal 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mercadal conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mercadal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Felanitx's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS Mercadal
1 Goals Scored 0.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

Mercadal

(Away)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0
Mercadal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B342662105:2284
2Manacor34245571:3977
3Pena Deportiva34208669:3068
4Constancia341951062:2962
5Llosetense341610859:4058
6Formentera341313840:2952
7Inter Ibiza341551442:4350
8Mercadal341541531:4549
9Cardassar341281438:5544
10Platges de Calvia341261641:4342
11Binissalem3410111326:3441
12Santanyi341181543:5841
13Alcudia341151837:6238
14CD Son Cladera341151841:6338
15Portmany34862025:5030
16Collerense346101841:6428
17Felanitx345111832:6226
18Rotlet Molinar34582134:6923
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)