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Felanitx vs Rotlet Molinar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Segovia A.
77' Event
Ndiaye M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Felanitx and Rotlet Molinar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Felanitx
15%
Draws
49%
Rotlet Molinar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rotlet Molinar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rotlet Molinar come out ahead of Felanitx on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Rotlet Molinar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Rotlet Molinar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Rotlet Molinar
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Felanitx
1:1
Jan 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Rotlet Molinar
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Felanitx
2:1
Mar 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Felanitx
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Felanitx Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Top Goalscorer Segovia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 10 / 100
Rotlet Molinar 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Rotlet Molinar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotlet Molinar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rotlet Molinar conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Rotlet Molinar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Felanitx's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS Rotlet Molinar
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

Rotlet Molinar

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)