Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fellbach vs Backnang

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Lekaj G.
37' Event
Tichy P.
61' Event
Sadler V.

AI Match Summary

Backnang in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Backnang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Fellbach
30%
Draws
62%
Backnang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Backnang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Backnang have won more games recently than Fellbach.
  • Win probability leans Backnang's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fellbach Clean Sheet 19%
Backnang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fellbach Backnang
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Fellbach vs Backnang
3:3
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Fellbach vs Backnang
0:4
Aug 23, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs Fellbach
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fellbach Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Backnang Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekaj G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tichy P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fellbach 10 / 100
Backnang 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fellbach Backnang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Backnang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Backnang has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Fellbach scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Fellbach remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Backnang
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fellbach

(Home)
20 Jan
Fellbach
3 : 3
Backnang
12 Jul
Fellbach
1 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
31 May
Fellbach
0 : 6
Reutlingen
24 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Fellbach
16 May
Fellbach
0 : 2
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
Page 1 of 6

Backnang

(Away)
19 Sept
Backnang
1 : 1
Oberachern
12 Sept
Backnang
1 : 1
Balingen
09 Sept
FC Normannia Gmund
2 : 3
Backnang
05 Sept
Backnang
2 : 3
Reutlingen
29 Aug
FC 08 Villingen
2 : 4
Backnang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 31 2 1 109:26 95
2 Balingen 34 24 4 6 78:44 76
3 VfR Mannheim 34 20 7 7 71:41 67
4 Aalen 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
5 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 6 10 65:44 60
6 Oberachern 34 15 7 12 50:41 52
7 FC Nottingen 34 15 5 14 73:53 50
8 Backnang 34 14 8 12 60:49 50
9 Reutlingen 34 13 10 11 57:52 49
10 TSV Essingen 34 14 6 14 46:45 48
11 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 54:60 48
12 FC Normannia Gmund 34 14 3 17 62:65 45
13 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 12 7 15 54:63 43
14 Ravensburg 34 9 11 14 40:52 38
15 Fellbach 34 9 3 22 35:84 30
16 Zuzenhausen 34 8 3 23 42:87 27
17 Leinfelden-Echterdingen 34 5 3 26 38:83 18
18 FC 08 Villingen II 34 4 0 30 30:104 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)