Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fellbach vs VfR Mannheim

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fossi P.
55' Event
Leuze L.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 game between Fellbach and VfR Mannheim finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fellbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Fellbach
35%
Draws
58%
VfR Mannheim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: VfR Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • VfR Mannheim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • VfR Mannheim are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fellbach Clean Sheet 10%
VfR Mannheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fellbach VfR Mannheim
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 11
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Fellbach vs VfR Mannheim
2:0
Sep 4, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
VfR Mannheim vs Fellbach
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fellbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Fossi P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leuze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

VfR Mannheim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fellbach 10 / 100
VfR Mannheim 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fellbach VfR Mannheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfR Mannheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

VfR Mannheim has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Fellbach found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Fellbach has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS VfR Mannheim
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fellbach

(Home)
20 Jan
Fellbach
3 : 3
Backnang
12 Jul
Fellbach
1 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
31 May
Fellbach
0 : 6
Reutlingen
24 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Fellbach
16 May
Fellbach
0 : 2
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
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VfR Mannheim

(Away)
19 Sept
Astoria Walldorf
2 : 3
VfR Mannheim
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Aalen
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
06 Sept
VfR Mannheim
1 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
30 Aug
Freiburg II
0 : 0
VfR Mannheim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 31 2 1 109:26 95
2 Balingen 34 24 4 6 78:44 76
3 VfR Mannheim 34 20 7 7 71:41 67
4 Aalen 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
5 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 6 10 65:44 60
6 Oberachern 34 15 7 12 50:41 52
7 FC Nottingen 34 15 5 14 73:53 50
8 Backnang 34 14 8 12 60:49 50
9 Reutlingen 34 13 10 11 57:52 49
10 TSV Essingen 34 14 6 14 46:45 48
11 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 54:60 48
12 FC Normannia Gmund 34 14 3 17 62:65 45
13 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 12 7 15 54:63 43
14 Ravensburg 34 9 11 14 40:52 38
15 Fellbach 34 9 3 22 35:84 30
16 Zuzenhausen 34 8 3 23 42:87 27
17 Leinfelden-Echterdingen 34 5 3 26 38:83 18
18 FC 08 Villingen II 34 4 0 30 30:104 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)