Sport Picks
Fencibles United AFC vs Auckland City
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 
Match Events
29'
29'
Wessels L.
45'
45'
Rangihuna-Stanton R.
67'
67'
Lobo N.
AI Match Summary
Fencibles United AFC in this Chatham Cup tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Auckland City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Auckland City lately — more wins on the board than Fencibles United AFC.
- Win probability leans Auckland City's way, sitting at 80%.
- Auckland City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Fencibles United AFC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fencibles United AFC Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fencibles United AFC | Auckland City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 37 |
| Wins | 3 | 22 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 3.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 3.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Chatham Cup
Fencibles United AFC vs Auckland City
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fencibles United AFC Compare
Top Goalscorer Wessels L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rangihuna-Stanton R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Auckland City Compare
Top Goalscorer Lobo N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Manickum D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fencibles United AFC 12 / 100
Auckland City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fencibles United AFC Auckland City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Fencibles United AFC scored in 60% of their last 5 games.
Auckland City let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.
Solid form: Fencibles United AFC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fencibles United AFC VS Auckland City
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fencibles United AFC
(Home) 25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 South Auckland Rangers
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
2 : 1 Western Springs
08 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Melville
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 South Auckland Rangers
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
2 : 1 Western Springs
08 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Melville
Auckland City
(Away) 25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0 Takapuna Afc
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0 Coastal Spirit
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3 Auckland City
Page 1 of 8
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3 Auckland City
15 Nov
Miramar
3 : 0 Auckland City
01 Nov
Christchurch
2 : 2 Auckland City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC3
South Auckland Rangers0
Auckland City3
Takapuna Afc0
Nelson Suburbs FC5
Northern AFC0
Auckland United3
Cambridge1
Dunedin City Royals0
Cashmere Technical9
Island Bay1
Miramar3
Melville0
Hibiscus Coast1
Petone0
Napier City4
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC3
Auckland City2
Nelson Suburbs FC2
Auckland United1
Cashmere Technical2
Miramar1
Hibiscus Coast2
Napier City5
Semi-finals
Fencibles United AFC-
Nelson Suburbs FC-
Cashmere Technical-
Napier City-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
