Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fencibles W vs Wellington United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Fencibles W and Wellington United W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fencibles W
25%
Draws
35%
Wellington United W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Fencibles W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Wellington United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Wellington United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fencibles W Clean Sheet 13%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fencibles W Wellington United W
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 0 9
Goals Scored 2 2.71
Goals Conceded 0 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fencibles W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fencibles W Wellington United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fencibles W found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (2 games).

Defensive concern: Wellington United W conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Fencibles W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Wellington United W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fencibles W VS Wellington United W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fencibles W

(Home)
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W

Wellington United W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Auckland United W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Fencibles W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Waterside Karori W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Wellington United W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Canterbury United W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 West Coast Rangers W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
9 Southern United W 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)