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Fenerbahce vs Ferencvaros

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Demir Y. E.
42'
Zachariassen K.
55'
Szalai G.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Fenerbahce and Ferencvaros finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fenerbahce
17%
Draws
13%
Ferencvaros
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Fenerbahce haven't matched Ferencvaros's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fenerbahce a 70% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 15%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Ferencvaros
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Ferencvaros
1:1
Sep 29, 1971 Europa League
Ferencvaros vs Fenerbahce
3:1
Sep 15, 1971 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Ferencvaros
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Talisca A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 66 / 100
Ferencvaros 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Ferencvaros

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Fenerbahce remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Ferencvaros has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Ferencvaros
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221