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Fenerbahce vs Feyenoord

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Fenerbahce Logo

Fenerbahce

5 - 2
FT
Feyenoord Logo

Feyenoord

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sauer L.
21'
Amrabat S.
41' Event
Watanabe T.
Assist: Hwang In-Beom
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fenerbahce in this Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fenerbahce
30%
Draws
43%
Feyenoord
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Feyenoord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fenerbahce lately — more wins on the board than Feyenoord.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Fenerbahce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fenerbahce, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 16%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Feyenoord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Champions League
Fenerbahce vs Feyenoord
5:2
Aug 6, 2025 Champions League
Feyenoord vs Fenerbahce
2:1
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Fenerbahce vs Feyenoord
3:3
Dec 8, 2016 Europa League
Feyenoord vs Fenerbahce
0:1
Sep 29, 2016 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Feyenoord
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duran J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Feyenoord Compare

Top Goalscorer Watanabe T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 36 / 100
Feyenoord 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Feyenoord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Feyenoord Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fenerbahce scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Feyenoord let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fenerbahce stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Feyenoord
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
Lyon
15 Aug
Genclerbirligi
2 : 1
Fenerbahce
11 Aug
Sturm Graz
0 : 1
Fenerbahce
05 Aug
Fenerbahce
2 : 0
Sturm Graz
29 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6

Feyenoord

(Away)
16 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
G.A. Eagles
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1
Feyenoord
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Atalanta
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka -
TBD -
Ludogorets 3
Din. Minsk 2
Noah 3
Buducnost 2
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
TNS 1
Shkendija Tetovo 2
FCSB 4
Inter Escaldes 3
Shelbourne 2
Linfield 1
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
KF Egnatia 1
Breidablik 5
Vikingur 2
Lincoln Red Imps 4
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Zalgiris 2
Hamrun 3
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Bodo/Glimt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sturm Graz -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS 1
Milsami 0
O. Ljubljana 1
Kairat Almaty 3
Slovan Bratislava -
TBD -
Virtus 1
Zrinjski 4
Basel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia 0
RFS 2
Iberia 1999 2
Malmo FF 6
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Drita 4
Differdange 2
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenerbahce -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
Plzen -
TBD -
TBD -
Servette -
Brann -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Brugge -
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 1
Ludogorets 3
Noah 4
Ferencvaros 6
Shkendija Tetovo 3
FCSB 1
Shelbourne 0
Qarabag Agdam 4
Lech Poznan 8
Breidablik 1
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Crvena zvezda 6
Hamrun 0
Dynamo Kyiv 6
Pafos 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1
Bodo/Glimt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sturm Graz -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS 2
Kairat Almaty 3
Slovan Bratislava 6
Zrinjski 2
Basel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS 1
Malmo FF 5
FC Copenhagen 3
Drita 0
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenerbahce -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Rangers 3
Panathinaikos 1
Plzen 3
Servette 2
Brann 2
Salzburg 5
TBD -
Club Brugge -
Semi-finals
Ludogorets 0
Ferencvaros 3
Shkendija Tetovo 1
Qarabag Agdam 6
Lech Poznan 2
Crvena zvezda 4
Dynamo Kyiv 0
Pafos 3
Bodo/Glimt -
TBD -
TBD -
Sturm Graz -
Celtic -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 2
Slovan Bratislava 1
Basel -
TBD -
Malmo FF 0
FC Copenhagen 5
Feyenoord 4
Fenerbahce 6
Nice 0
Benfica 4
Rangers 4
Plzen 2
Salzburg 2
Club Brugge 4
Final
Ferencvaros 4
Qarabag Agdam 5
Crvena zvezda 2
Pafos 3
Bodo/Glimt 6
Sturm Graz 2
Celtic 0
Kairat Almaty 1
Basel 1
FC Copenhagen 3
Fenerbahce 0
Benfica 1
Rangers 1
Club Brugge 9