Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze

Europe Europe

Champions League Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Talisca A.
46'
Sub
Ake N. In: Mercan L.
Out: Ake N.
69'
Sub
Akturkoglu K. In: Aydin O.
Out: Akturkoglu K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Fenerbahce advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fenerbahce
6%
Draws
4%
Gornik Zabrze
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fenerbahce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fenerbahce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Fenerbahce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 19%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Gornik Zabrze
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Talisca A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gornik Zabrze Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 85 / 100
Gornik Zabrze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Gornik Zabrze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Fenerbahce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Gornik Zabrze has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gornik Zabrze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Gornik Zabrze
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
14 Jul
LASK Linz
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0
Pogon Szczecin
08 Jul
Admira
0 : 5
Fenerbahce
17 May
Fenerbahce
3 : 3
Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6

Gornik Zabrze

(Away)
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
16 Jul
Lech Poznan
3 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
10 Jul
Nordsjaelland
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
04 Jul
Tirol
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
04 Jul
Salzburg
2 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19990
Slovan Bratislava2
Levski Sofia-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
Kairat Almaty-
Aarhus1
Lech Poznan4
Sabah Baku1
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia2
Shamrock Rovers0
KF Egnatia-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Larne0
Crvena zvezda4
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce1
Gornik Zabrze0
Sturm Graz4
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-