Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fenerbahce vs VfB Stuttgart

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
El Khannouss B.
26'
Alvarez E.
31'
Stiller A.

AI Match Summary

Fenerbahce in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenerbahce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fenerbahce
33%
Draws
40%
VfB Stuttgart
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: VfB Stuttgart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fenerbahce lately — more wins on the board than VfB Stuttgart.
  • Win probability leans VfB Stuttgart's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce VfB Stuttgart
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2025 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs VfB Stuttgart
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 26 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce VfB Stuttgart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Fenerbahce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

VfB Stuttgart has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS VfB Stuttgart
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
29 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1
Fenerbahce
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
14 Jul
LASK Linz
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0
Pogon Szczecin
08 Jul
Admira
0 : 5
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 7

VfB Stuttgart

(Away)
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8
VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5
VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)