Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022

FC Sumy

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fenix Mariupol play FC Sumy in the Druha Liga 2021/2022. Fenix Mariupol are favorites here. Recently, Fenix Mariupol averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. FC Sumy averaged 0.84 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. In past meetings, Fenix Mariupol won 2, FC Sumy won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 6, 2021 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Fenix Mariupol and 1.31 for FC Sumy. This points to a Fenix Mariupol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Fenix Mariupol

23%

Draws

12%

FC Sumy

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fenix Mariupol picked up more points recently compared to FC Sumy.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 18%

FC Sumy Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fenix Mariupol	FC Sumy
Matches Played	31	19
Wins	11	1
Draws	9	2
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1.35	0.84
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2021 Druha Liga

Fenix Mariupol vs FC Sumy

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Jul 31, 2021 Druha Liga

FC Sumy vs Fenix Mariupol

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Lityuk G.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Sumy Compare

Top Goalscorer Pilipenko A. S.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix Mariupol 62 / 100

FC Sumy 13 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fenix Mariupol FC Sumy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (1)

Secondary Pick Fenix Mariupol & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fenix Mariupol attacking → ← attacking FC Sumy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix Mariupol scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

FC Sumy let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Fenix Mariupol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Sumy lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 5

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Karpaty Lviv	18	16	0	2	46:7	48
2	Livyi Bereg	19	15	1	3	47:14	46
3	LNZ Cherkasy	17	13	2	2	36:9	41
4	Dinaz Vyshgorod	19	13	1	5	33:18	40
5	Epitsentr	19	12	1	6	30:19	37
6	Munkacs Mukacheve	19	8	5	6	25:24	29
7	Karpaty Halych	18	7	4	7	23:23	25
8	Nyva Vinnytsya	17	7	4	6	29:20	25
9	Bukovyna	18	6	5	7	20:17	23
10	FC Chernihiv	18	5	5	8	17:24	20
11	Dnipro Cherkasy	18	5	2	11	24:32	17
12	Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	19	3	6	10	16:40	15
13	Rubikon Kyiv	19	4	2	13	12:38	14
14	AFSC Kyiv	19	1	5	13	8:38	8
15	Liubomyr Stavyshche	19	1	1	17	8:51	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	19	13	6	0	34:7	45
2	Skoruk Tomakovka	20	12	5	3	33:14	41
3	FK Balkany	20	10	9	1	34:14	39
4	Peremoga Dnipro	20	12	3	5	34:14	39
5	Tavriya	19	9	6	4	28:19	33
6	SC Poltava	20	9	4	7	29:27	31
7	Trostyanets	19	9	4	6	34:29	31
8	MFK Mykolaiv	17	8	6	3	35:24	30
9	FC Vovchansk	20	7	6	7	27:25	27
10	Victoria	19	8	3	8	22:23	27
11	Fenix Mariupol	20	6	6	8	36:29	24
12	FC Nikopol	20	5	5	10	22:42	20
13	Nova Kakhovka	20	5	2	13	20:40	17
14	Real Pharma Odesa	20	4	2	14	22:49	14
15	Krystal	20	2	3	15	19:36	9
16	FC Sumy	19	1	2	16	16:53	5