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Fenix Mariupol vs Minaj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka
Wed, Apr 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fenix Mariupol host Minaj in the Persha Liga 2025/2026. Fenix Mariupol are expected to control this from the start. Fenix Mariupol have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Minaj's 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Fenix Mariupol slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Fenix Mariupol. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fenix Mariupol
25%
Draws
35%
Minaj
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix Mariupol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 20%
Minaj Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Mariupol Minaj
Matches Played 32 10
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.41 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Minaj
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Persha Liga
Minaj vs Fenix Mariupol
0:0
May 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Minaj vs Fenix Mariupol
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Minaj
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix Mariupol 31 / 100
Minaj 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Mariupol Minaj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix Mariupol's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Fenix Mariupol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fenix Mariupol VS Minaj
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix Mariupol

(Home)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
Page 1 of 7

Minaj

(Away)

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)