Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Fenix host Cerrito in the Segunda Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Fenix have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Cerrito's 1.3 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Fenix slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Fenix. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cerrito carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Fenix a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenix | Cerrito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenix scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Cerrito conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Cerrito lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fenix
(Home)Cerrito
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:22 | 41 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 29:23 | 36 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:25 | 36 |
| 4 | Colon | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 26:24 | 36 |
| 5 | River Plate Montevideo | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 35:29 | 33 |
| 6 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 29:26 | 32 |
| 8 | Paysandu FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 29:29 | 31 |
| 9 | La Luz | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | 31 |
| 10 | Fenix | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 11 | Miramar | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25:27 | 29 |
| 12 | Huracan FC | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:31 | 27 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 17:26 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21:35 | 18 |