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Fenix vs Cerrito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Capurro, Montevideo
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fenix host Cerrito in the Segunda Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Fenix have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Cerrito's 1.3 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Fenix slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Fenix. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fenix
15%
Draws
51%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerrito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cerrito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fenix a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fenix Clean Sheet 16%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Cerrito
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Fenix
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Cerrito
4:1
Sep 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Fenix
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Cerrito
3:2
Sep 15, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Fenix
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 36 / 100
Cerrito 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Cerrito conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Cerrito lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Cerrito
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix

(Home)
17 Oct
Fenix
0 : 1
Paysandu FC
11 Oct
Huracan FC
0 : 0
Fenix
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
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Cerrito

(Away)
17 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Cerrito
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1
Tacuarembo
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 23 12 5 6 31:22 41
2 Plaza Colonia 23 10 6 7 29:23 36
3 Rentistas 23 10 6 7 30:25 36
4 Colon 23 10 6 7 26:24 36
5 River Plate Montevideo 23 9 6 8 35:29 33
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 23 8 9 6 31:26 33
7 Cerrito 23 8 8 7 29:26 32
8 Paysandu FC 23 9 4 10 29:29 31
9 La Luz 23 8 7 8 21:25 31
10 Fenix 23 7 9 7 27:25 30
11 Miramar 23 7 8 8 25:27 29
12 Huracan FC 23 7 6 10 22:31 27
13 Tacuarembo 23 6 6 11 17:26 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 23 4 6 13 21:35 18
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)