Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fenix vs Club Oriental De Futbol

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Capurro, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Rigoleto M.
63' Event
Colman G.
69' Event
Rodriguez N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Fenix and Club Oriental De Futbol finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fenix
20%
Draws
57%
Club Oriental De Futbol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Oriental De Futbol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Fenix Clean Sheet 16%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Club Oriental De Futbol
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Fenix
3:2
Jun 20, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:2
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Fenix
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Colman G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rigoleto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 31 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Club Oriental De Futbol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Oriental De Futbol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Club Oriental De Futbol let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fenix went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Club Oriental De Futbol
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
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Club Oriental De Futbol

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Sept
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 19 11 3 5 29:18 36
2 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
3 Plaza Colonia 19 9 4 6 25:18 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Cerrito 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
8 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
9 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
10 Huracan FC 19 6 5 8 19:25 23
11 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
12 Miramar 19 5 7 7 21:24 22
13 La Luz 19 5 6 8 14:21 21
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)