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Fenix vs Plaza Colonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Capurro, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Fernandez F.
21' Event
Amoroso V.
33' Event
Vergara H.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Fenix and Plaza Colonia finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fenix
30%
Draws
29%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fenix are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia
1:4
May 9, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Fenix
0:1
Oct 13, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia
1:4
Jun 24, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Fenix
1:1
Mar 6, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Fenix
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoroso V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergara H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 50 / 100
Plaza Colonia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Plaza Colonia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Fenix stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Plaza Colonia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix

(Home)
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 7

Plaza Colonia

(Away)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)