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Fenix vs Tacuarembo

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Capurro
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Silva L.
72' Event
Silva L.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Silveira J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Fenix and Tacuarembo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacuarembo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fenix
28%
Draws
22%
Tacuarembo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenix come out ahead of Tacuarembo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fenix a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Tacuarembo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Tacuarembo
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Tacuarembo
3:2
Oct 10, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Tacuarembo
4:2
Jul 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Fenix
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Tacuarembo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Silveira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 59 / 100
Tacuarembo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Tacuarembo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Tacuarembo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fenix stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Tacuarembo
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1053215:1318
3River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
4Colon1043310:915
5Tacuarembo94238:814
6Rentistas1042411:1314
7Fenix934214:1113
8Miramar1034314:1213
9Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
10Club Oriental De Futbol1026215:1312
11Huracan FC103348:1212
12La Luz92436:810
13Uruguay Montevideo FC1022610:158
14Paysandu FC921611:157