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FeralpiSalo vs Padova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 Stadio Lino Turina, Salo
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Santini C.
67'
Sub
Liguori M. In: Buonaiuto C.
Out: Liguori M.
67'
Sub
Valente N. In: Varas K.
Out: Valente N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 game between FeralpiSalo and Padova finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FeralpiSalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
FeralpiSalo
15%
Draws
37%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FeralpiSalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FeralpiSalo come out ahead of Padova on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FeralpiSalo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FeralpiSalo Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FeralpiSalo Padova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Padova
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs FeralpiSalo
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Padova vs FeralpiSalo
3:2
Feb 1, 2023 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Padova
0:0
Oct 3, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs FeralpiSalo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FeralpiSalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vesentini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Padova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FeralpiSalo 68 / 100
Padova 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FeralpiSalo Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FeralpiSalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FeralpiSalo scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Padova conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FeralpiSalo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Padova
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FeralpiSalo

(Home)
14 May
FeralpiSalo
2 : 1
Crotone
11 May
Crotone
3 : 1
FeralpiSalo
25 Apr
Arzignano
1 : 0
FeralpiSalo
18 Apr
FeralpiSalo
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
11 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 3
FeralpiSalo
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Padova

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padova 38 26 8 4 65:24 86
2 Vicenza 38 25 8 5 59:24 83
3 FeralpiSalo 38 21 9 8 53:30 72
4 AlbinoLeffe 38 16 12 10 46:38 60
5 Renate 38 18 6 14 35:36 60
6 Giana Erminio 38 16 9 13 44:39 57
7 Trento 38 14 15 9 47:42 57
8 Atalanta U23 38 16 9 13 65:53 57
9 Virtus Verona 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
10 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 45:46 53
11 Novara 38 14 12 12 42:39 52
12 Alcione Milano 38 13 8 17 33:37 47
13 Lecco 38 10 13 15 36:47 43
14 Pergolettese 38 11 9 18 36:49 42
15 Lumezzane 38 9 15 14 40:55 42
16 Triestina 38 12 8 18 40:45 39
17 Pro Vercelli 38 9 10 19 30:51 37
18 Pro Patria 38 6 16 16 32:44 34
19 Caldiero Terme 38 8 9 21 39:64 33
20 Clodiense 38 4 9 25 34:67 21
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)