Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 Stadio Lino Turina

Pergolettese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FeralpiSalo play Pergolettese in the Serie C - Group A 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FeralpiSalo averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded. Pergolettese averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, FeralpiSalo won 2, Pergolettese won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 24, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for FeralpiSalo and 1.11 for Pergolettese. This points to a FeralpiSalo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

FeralpiSalo

28%

Draws

24%

Pergolettese

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FeralpiSalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

FeralpiSalo picked up more points recently compared to Pergolettese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

FeralpiSalo Clean Sheet 21%

Pergolettese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FeralpiSalo	Pergolettese
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	18	8
Draws	5	9
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	1.6	0.97
Goals Conceded	1	1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2025 Serie C - Group A

FeralpiSalo vs Pergolettese

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sep 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A

Pergolettese vs FeralpiSalo

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Jan 21, 2023 Serie C - Group A

Pergolettese vs FeralpiSalo

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Sep 17, 2022 Serie C - Group A

FeralpiSalo vs Pergolettese

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Apr 2, 2022 Serie C - Group A

Pergolettese vs FeralpiSalo

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FeralpiSalo Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Pergolettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambrughi A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Careccia S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FeralpiSalo 47 / 100

Pergolettese 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FeralpiSalo Pergolettese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FeralpiSalo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FeralpiSalo attacking → ← attacking Pergolettese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FeralpiSalo scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Pergolettese let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FeralpiSalo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pergolettese lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Padova	38	26	8	4	65:24	86
2	Vicenza	38	25	8	5	59:24	83
3	FeralpiSalo	38	21	9	8	53:30	72
4	AlbinoLeffe	38	16	12	10	46:38	60
5	Renate	38	18	6	14	35:36	60
6	Giana Erminio	38	16	9	13	44:39	57
7	Trento	38	14	15	9	47:42	57
8	Atalanta U23	38	16	9	13	65:53	57
9	Virtus Verona	38	15	11	12	52:43	56
10	Arzignano	38	15	8	15	45:46	53
11	Novara	38	14	12	12	42:39	52
12	Alcione Milano	38	13	8	17	33:37	47
13	Lecco	38	10	13	15	36:47	43
14	Pergolettese	38	11	9	18	36:49	42
15	Lumezzane	38	9	15	14	40:55	42
16	Triestina	38	12	8	18	40:45	39
17	Pro Vercelli	38	9	10	19	30:51	37
18	Pro Patria	38	6	16	16	32:44	34
19	Caldiero Terme	38	8	9	21	39:64	33
20	Clodiense	38	4	9	25	34:67	21