Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferencvaros vs Csakvari

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2025/2026 Groupama Arena, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Joseph L.
15' Event
Joseph L.
18' Event
Zachariassen K.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros in this Hungarian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ferencvaros
30%
Draws
6%
Csakvari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferencvaros lately — more wins on the board than Csakvari.
  • Model gives Ferencvaros a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Ferencvaros have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferencvaros, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ferencvaros have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 68%
Csakvari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Csakvari
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Ferencvaros vs Csakvari
4:0
Nov 18, 2015 Hungarian Cup
Csakvari vs Ferencvaros
4:3
Oct 28, 2015 Hungarian Cup
Ferencvaros vs Csakvari
4:1
Mar 31, 2015 Hungarian Cup
Csakvari vs Ferencvaros
0:5
Mar 4, 2015 Hungarian Cup
Ferencvaros vs Csakvari
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zachariassen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Csakvari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 95 / 100
Csakvari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Csakvari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Csakvari conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Solid form: Ferencvaros remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Csakvari
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
20 Sept
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
03 Sept
Gyor
0 : 3
Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 7

Csakvari

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajka
1 : 0
Csakvari
12 Sept
Gyirmot FC Gyor
1 : 0
Csakvari
06 Sept
Csakvari
2 : 2
Szeged-Csanad GA
30 Aug
Soroksar
6 : 0
Csakvari
23 Aug
Csakvari
0 : 2
Kazincbarcika
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 1
Gyulahaza 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
Marshall-Andornaktalya SE 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Karancslapujto 0
Senyo 3
Tarpa 3
Tiszaujvaros 1
Villanyi 1
Kelen 2
Bonyhad 0
Dunaujvaros 8
TFSE-Tent Budapest 0
Ivancsa 3
Penzugyor SE 2
Szekszardi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 5
Teskand 0
Szarvaskend 2
Zalaszentgroti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 3
FC Dabas 2
Janoshalmi 0
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karcagi -
Kiraly SE 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 4
Sopron 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Nagybajom 0
Kaposvar 4
Szepetnek 0
Erdi 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Tatai 2
Koppanymonostori SE 3
Sarvari FC 5
Zalalovoi 3
Dunakeszi 0
Pilisi 2
Issimo 4
Kiskunfelegyhaza TSI 0
Mohacsi 2
Toponar 0
Komloi 1
Majosi 3
Paszto SK-Real-Immo Sport 1
Godollo 4
MVSC 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye 4
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 2
Airnergy FC 1
Fonix Gold 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Szegedi 0
Gyulai Termal 4
Csepel 2
Monori 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Hatvan FC 5
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Tiszafuredi 5
Nyirmeggyes SK 3
CSO-Ki Sport 5
Unicum FC Mohora 1
Putnok VSE 4
Devecser 1
Bicskei 10
Csesztreg 0
VSC Veszprem 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 1
Ujperint SE 0
Mori SE 4
Urkut 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Dombovari LK 0
Budaorsi SC 2
Bajai 0
Nagykanizsa FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 3
Jamina SE 1
OMTK-ULE 3
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
Bordany SK 2
Makoi 1
Rackeve 0
ESMTK Budapest 7
Martely SK 0
Epitok 1
Mezoturi 0
Martfui LSE 3
Harkany SE 1
Sarbogard 3
Dunafoldvar 1
Dombovari 8
Mezomegyer 2
Szajol 4
Solti FC 1
Rakoczifalva 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Mezoberenyi LE 0
Sandorfalvi 3
Sarreti 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Soproni FAC 0
Intretech Kapuvari SE 4
Menfocsanak 1
Dorogi FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezokeresztes 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Tallya 1
Vasarosnameny SE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Csenger 0
Gyongyosi 0
Eger 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Koronco 0
Mezoors 1
Tihanyi 1
Haladas VSE 6
Balatonalmadi 5
Kormendi 0
Komaromi VSE 6
Papai Perutz 4
Nagyatadi 3
Balatonlelle 2
GA Gyogyfurdo 1
Pecsi MFC 10
Patak FC 0
Debreceni EAC 14
Hajdusamsoni 0
Cigand SE 2
Hevesi 2
Ujfeherto 4
Monostorpalyi 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Mezofalva 0
Lajoskomarom 2
Unione 2
PTE-PEAC 4
Vecsesi 1
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Kiskorosi 0
BKV Elore 3
Nyergesujfalu 2
Celldomolki Vse 0
Balatonfuredi 2
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/64-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Senyo 0
Tarpa 4
Kelen 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Ivancsa 2
Penzugyor SE 1
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Szarvaskend 2
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Karcagi -
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
TBD -
Csakvari -
Kaposvar 2
Erdi 3
TBD -
Gyor -
Koppanymonostori SE 1
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Issimo 1
Mohacsi 2
Majosi 4
Godollo 4
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Gyulai Termal 3
Csepel 0
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Hatvan FC 0
Tiszafuredi 4
CSO-Ki Sport 0
Putnok VSE 3
Bicskei 0
VSC Veszprem 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 2
Mori SE 4
TBD -
Honved -
Budaorsi SC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Bordany SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 8
Epitok 1
Martfui LSE 3
Sarbogard 1
Dombovari 6
Szajol 6
Rakoczifalva 1
TBD -
Paks -
Sandorfalvi 1
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
DVTK -
Intretech Kapuvari SE 0
Dorogi FC 1
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mateszalkai MTK 0
Vasarosnameny SE 1
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Eger 4
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Mezoors 3
Haladas VSE 2
Balatonalmadi 1
Komaromi VSE 2
Nagyatadi 0
Pecsi MFC 4
Debreceni EAC 2
Cigand SE 1
Ujfeherto 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Lajoskomarom 1
PTE-PEAC 3
III. Keruleti TVE 5
BKV Elore 0
Nyergesujfalu 0
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/32-finals
Ajka 3
Kisvarda FC 1
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Tiszakecske 4
Tarpa 2
Kelen 3
Ivancsa 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Szarvaskend 0
Ferencvaros 15
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Nyiregyhaza 0
REAC 2
Karcagi 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Csakvari 1
Erdi 0
Gyor 3
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Majosi 2
Godollo 0
Videoton 3
Szentlorinc SE 0
Siofok 1
MTK Budapest 7
Gyulai Termal 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Kecskemeti TE 3
Ujpest 2
Tiszafuredi 3
Putnok VSE 2
VSC Veszprem 0
Debrecen 2
Mori SE 1
Honved 4
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Szolnoki MAV 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
Martfui LSE 5
Dombovari 4
Szajol 1
Paks 5
Hodmezovasarhely 1
DVTK 3
Dorogi FC 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Vasarosnameny SE 0
Zalaegerszegi 13
Eger 0
Budafoki MTE 2
Vasas 4
Puskas Academy 1
Mezoors 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Pecsi MFC 0
Debreceni EAC 2
Fuzesabony 0
BVSC-Zuglo 4
PTE-PEAC 1
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Tatabanya 0
Soroksar 2
1/16-finals
Ajka 2
Tiszakecske 1
Kelen 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Karcagi 2
Csakvari 3
Gyor 9
Pilisi 0
Majosi 0
Videoton 1
MTK Budapest 5
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Tiszafuredi 1
Debrecen 1
Honved 2
Kozarmisleny SE 0
ESMTK Budapest 1
Martfui LSE 1
Paks 4
DVTK 2
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Zalaegerszegi 3
Budafoki MTE 1
Vasas 3
Mezoors 0
Debreceni EAC 1
BVSC-Zuglo 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Soroksar 1
1/8-finals
Ajka 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Csakvari 0
Gyor 2
Videoton 0
MTK Budapest 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Honved 2
ESMTK Budapest 0
Paks 2
DVTK 6
Zalaegerszegi 2
Vasas 1
Debreceni EAC 0
Soroksar 1
Quarter-finals
Kazincbarcika 0
Ferencvaros 5
Gyor 3
Kecskemeti TE 1
Honved 1
DVTK 0
Zalaegerszegi 1
Soroksar 0
Semi-finals
Ferencvaros 3
Gyor 2
Honved 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Final
Ferencvaros 1
Zalaegerszegi 0