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Ferizaj vs Drenica

Kosovo Kosovo

Superliga 2025/2026
Ferizaj Logo

Ferizaj

1 - 0
FT
Drenica Logo

Drenica

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Oguns A.
83'
Christian
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ferizaj in this Superliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferizaj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ferizaj
30%
Draws
47%
Drenica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Drenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Ferizaj haven't matched Drenica's recent run of results.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Superliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ferizaj Clean Sheet 68%
Drenica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferizaj Drenica
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Ferizaj
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Superliga
Ferizaj vs Drenica
1:0
Feb 10, 2026 Kosovar Cup
Drenica vs Ferizaj
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Superliga
Drenica vs Ferizaj
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Superliga
Ferizaj vs Drenica
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferizaj Compare

Top Goalscorer Oguns A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Drenica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferizaj 41 / 100
Drenica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferizaj Drenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferizaj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferizaj scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Drenica conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Ferizaj remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferizaj VS Drenica
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferizaj

(Home)
28 Aug
Ferizaj
0 : 1
Trepca 89
22 Aug
Rilindja
1 : 1
Ferizaj
16 Aug
Liria
2 : 1
Ferizaj
25 Jul
Ferizaj
2 : 0
Brera Strumica
31 May
Ferizaj
2 : 3
Llapi
Page 1 of 6

Drenica

(Away)
28 Aug
Drenica
0 : 2
FC Ballkani
21 Aug
Malisheva
1 : 1
Drenica
15 Aug
Drenica
0 : 0
Dukagjini
31 May
Prishtina
1 : 2
Drenica
24 May
Drenica
3 : 2
Ferizaj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drita 36 20 6 10 50:35 66
2 Malisheva 36 18 5 13 58:50 59
3 FC Ballkani 36 17 7 12 61:41 58
4 Dukagjini 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
5 Gjilani 36 14 9 13 47:48 51
6 Drenica 36 15 5 16 46:55 50
7 Prishtina 36 13 10 13 52:51 49
8 Llapi 36 13 10 13 46:50 49
9 Ferizaj 36 9 9 18 40:55 36
10 Prishtina e Re 36 8 7 21 39:60 31
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)