Sport Picks
Fermana vs Civitanovese Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 Stadio Bruno Recchioni, Fermo 
Match Events
15'
15'
Milani A.
67'
67'
Foglia M.
AI Match Summary
Civitanovese Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Civitanovese Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Civitanovese Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Civitanovese Calcio have won more games recently than Fermana.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Fermana Clean Sheet 20%
Civitanovese Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fermana | Civitanovese Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Civitanovese Calcio
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Fermana
0:0
Jan 22, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Civitanovese Calcio
2:0
Sep 18, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Fermana
2:4
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Fermana
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fermana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Civitanovese Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Milani A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Foglia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fermana 36 / 100
Civitanovese Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fermana Civitanovese Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Civitanovese Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Civitanovese Calcio conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Fermana scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Fermana remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fermana VS Civitanovese Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fermana
(Home) 04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Fermana
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1 Fermana
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0 Avezzano
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0 Avezzano
23 Mar
Fermana
0 : 1 Fossombrone
02 Mar
Fermana
1 : 1 Roma City
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Civitanovese Calcio
(Away) 11 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
04 May
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
27 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1 Recanatese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
AS Sora
3 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
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11 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
04 May
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
AS Sora
3 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
30 Mar
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Civitanovese Calcio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
