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Fernando de la Mora vs Guarani de Fram Prediction & H2H Stats

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Acosta D.

AI Match Summary

Fernando de la Mora in this Division Intermedia 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fernando de la Mora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Fernando de la Mora
15%
Draws
21%
Guarani de Fram
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fernando de la Mora lately — more wins on the board than Guarani de Fram.
  • Win probability leans Fernando de la Mora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 16%
Guarani de Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernando de la Mora Guarani de Fram
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guarani de Fram
1:0
May 30, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guarani de Fram vs Fernando de la Mora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Guarani de Fram Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernando de la Mora 84 / 100
Guarani de Fram 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernando de la Mora Guarani de Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernando de la Mora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Fram's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Fernando de la Mora scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Fernando de la Mora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernando de la Mora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernando de la Mora

(Home)
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 7

Guarani de Fram

(Away)
04 Oct
Guairena FC
3 : 1
Guarani de Fram
26 Sept
Guarani de Fram
1 : 0
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Independiente FBC
2 : 0
Guarani de Fram
15 Sept
Guarani de Fram
0 : 2
Sol de America
06 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Guarani de Fram
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rubio Nu 30 17 9 4 46:21 60
2 San Lorenzo 30 15 8 7 38:22 53
3 Deportivo Capiata 30 14 10 6 37:21 52
4 12 de Junio 30 12 12 6 36:26 48
5 Pastoreo 30 10 11 9 34:31 41
6 Resistencia 30 9 13 8 46:50 40
7 Guairena FC 30 11 6 13 41:38 39
8 Sol de America 30 9 11 10 34:35 38
9 Tacuary 30 10 8 12 28:36 38
10 Club River Plate 30 8 13 9 35:39 37
11 Deportivo Santani 30 8 11 11 33:35 35
12 Encarnacion FC 30 8 11 11 33:42 35
13 Sportivo Carapegua 30 7 13 10 39:46 34
14 Independiente FBC 30 9 7 14 32:40 34
15 Fernando de la Mora 30 6 10 14 24:40 28
16 Guarani de Fram 30 5 11 14 35:49 26
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)