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Stadium Background

Fernandopolis vs Sumare

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sumare in this Paulista A4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fernandopolis
20%
Draws
40%
Sumare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fernandopolis lately — more wins on the board than Sumare.
  • Win probability leans Fernandopolis's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 16%
Sumare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernandopolis Sumare
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Fernandopolis
2:2
Aug 15, 2012 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Sumare
1:3
Aug 1, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Fernandopolis
2:3
Jul 18, 2012 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Sumare
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernandopolis 41 / 100
Sumare 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernandopolis Sumare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumare let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Away concern: Sumare has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Fernandopolis scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fernandopolis VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernandopolis

(Home)
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0
Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4
Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1
Fernandopolis
Page 1 of 6

Sumare

(Away)
21 Sept
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Sumare
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5
Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1
Manthiqueira
07 Sept
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Sumare
03 Sept
Lemense
3 : 1
Sumare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)