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Fernwald vs Darmstadt U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fernwald host Darmstadt U21 in the Oberliga Hessen. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Fernwald have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Darmstadt U21's 2.31 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Fernwald slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.81) point toward Darmstadt U21. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fernwald
35%
Draws
35%
Darmstadt U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Darmstadt U21 have won more games recently than Fernwald.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fernwald have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 11%
Darmstadt U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Darmstadt U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 15 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.52 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Darmstadt U21 vs Fernwald
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Darmstadt U21
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Darmstadt U21
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Darmstadt U21 vs Fernwald
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 35 / 100
Darmstadt U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Darmstadt U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darmstadt U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fernwald scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Darmstadt U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Fernwald has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS Darmstadt U21
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
17 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
Hadamar
11 Oct
CSC 03 Kassel
0 : 0
Fernwald
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
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Darmstadt U21

(Away)
18 Oct
Hanauer SC
1 : 0
Darmstadt U21
11 Oct
Darmstadt U21
4 : 0
Kassel 2
03 Oct
Hunfelder
0 : 3
Darmstadt U21
26 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Alzenau
19 Sept
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Darmstadt U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 14 10 2 2 41:11 32
2 Unter-Flockenbach 14 9 2 3 37:25 29
3 Eddersheim 14 7 4 3 31:24 25
4 Hadamar 14 7 3 4 24:21 24
5 Turk Gucu Friedberg 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
6 Pohlheim 14 7 2 5 21:21 23
7 Darmstadt U21 14 6 3 5 31:18 21
8 VfB Marburg 14 6 3 5 19:18 21
9 Hunfelder 14 6 1 7 21:22 19
10 CSC 03 Kassel 14 5 3 6 15:25 18
11 Fernwald 14 3 9 2 22:20 18
12 Alzenau 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 RW Walldorf 14 5 2 7 22:30 17
14 Baunatal 14 4 3 7 20:26 15
15 Hanauer SC 14 3 4 7 21:32 13
16 Hummetroth 14 3 3 8 21:29 12
17 Kassel 2 14 3 3 8 16:24 12
18 Giessen 14 2 3 9 17:37 9
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)